Authors: Jay L. Devore
ISBN-13: 978-1305251809
See our solution for Question 41E from Chapter 5 from Devore's Probability and Statistics for Engineering and Science.
Given that, the X represents the number of packages being mailed by a randomly selected customer at a certain shipping facility.
The distribution of X is also provided as:
| x | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| P(x) | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
a.
Consider a random sample of size n = 2 (two customers), and let $\bar X$ be the sample mean number of packages shipped.
Required to obtain the probability distribution of $\bar X$.
Let the first observation be given by ${X_1}$ and second by ${X_2}$ respectively in a sample of 2 customers.
The distributions of ${X_1}$ and ${X_2}$ are independent as packages mailed by the customers are independent of one another.
Therefore, the joint probability distribution of pairs of sample observations $\left( {{x_1},{x_2}} \right)$ selected from ${X_1}$ and ${X_2}$ is given as:
\[p\left( {{x_1},{x_2}} \right) = {p_{{X_1}}}\left( {{x_1}} \right) \times {p_{{X_2}}}\left( {{x_2}} \right)\]The joint pdf for the pair (1,1) is obtained as:
\[\begin{array}{c} p\left( {1,1} \right) = {p_{{X_1}}}\left( 1 \right) \times {p_{{X_2}}}\left( 1 \right)\\ = 0.4 \times 0.4\\ = 0.16 \end{array}\]The joint pdf for all the other pairs $\left( {{x_1},{x_2}} \right)$ is similarly obtained as given below:
| x2 | Total | |||||
| x1 | P(x1, x2) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1 | 0.16 | 0.12 | 0.08 | 0.04 | 0.4 | |
| 2 | 0.12 | 0.09 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 0.3 | |
| 3 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.2 | |
| 4 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.1 | |
| Total | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1 | |
let $\bar X$ be the sample mean number of packages shipped mailed by 2 customers.
The formula for calculating $\bar X$ is:
\[\bar X = \left( {\frac{{{x_1} + {x_2}}}{2}} \right)\]The sample mean of packages shipped mailed by 2 customers for all pairs of observations $\left( {{x_1},{x_2}} \right)$ are given in the table below:
| $\left( {{x_1},{x_2}} \right)$ | $\bar X$ | $p\left( {{x_1},{x_2}} \right)$ |
| 1,1 | 1 | 0.16 |
| 1,2 | 1.5 | 0.12 |
| 1,3 | 2 | 0.08 |
| 1,4 | 2.5 | 0.04 |
| 2,1 | 1.5 | 0.12 |
| 2,2 | 2 | 0.09 |
| 2,3 | 2.5 | 0.06 |
| 2,4 | 3 | 0.03 |
| 2,1 | 2 | 0.08 |
| 3,2 | 2.5 | 0.06 |
| 3,3 | 3 | 0.04 |
| 3,4 | 3.5 | 0.02 |
| 4,1 | 2.5 | 0.04 |
| 4,2 | 3 | 0.03 |
| 4,3 | 3.5 | 0.02 |
| 4,4 | 4 | 0.01 |
To obtain the distribution of $\bar X$, the values of $\bar X$ which are repeated are added with the unique values of $\bar X$ as shown:
| $\bar x$ | Probability | P($\bar x$) |
| 1 | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| 1.5 | 0.12+0.12 | 0.24 |
| 2 | 0.08+0.09+0.08 | 0.25 |
| 2.5 | 0.04+0.06+0.06+0.04 | 0.20 |
| 3 | 0.03+0.04+0.03 | 0.10 |
| 3.5 | 0.02+0.02 | 0.04 |
| 4 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
This is the required probability distribution of $\bar X$.
b.
Refer to part (a), required to calculate $P\left( {\bar X \le 2.5} \right)$ .
Using probabilities from part (a), $P\left( {\bar X \le 2.5} \right)$ is calculated as shown:
\[\begin{array}{c} P\left( {\bar X \le 2.5} \right) = P\left( {\bar X = 1} \right) + P\left( {\bar X = 1.5} \right) + P\left( {\bar X = 2} \right) + P\left( {\bar X = 2.5} \right)\\ = 0.16 + 0.24 + 0.25 + 0.20\\ = 0.85 \end{array}\]Therefore, the required probability $P\left( {\bar X \le 2.5} \right)$ is 0.85.
c.
Again, consider a random sample of size n = 2, but now focus on the statistic R = the sample range (difference between the largest and smallest values in the sample).
Required to obtain the distribution of R.
Given that the statistic R = the sample range that is difference between the largest and smallest values in the sample.
That means, $R = \max \left\{ {{x_1},{x_2}} \right\} - \min \left\{ {{x_1},{x_2}} \right\}$
Following is the table which represents the probability corresponding to each pair $\left( {{x_1},{x_2}} \right)$ of R statistic.
| (x1,x2) | R | P(x1,x2) |
| 1,1 | 0 | 0.16 |
| 1,2 | 1 | 0.12 |
| 1,3 | 2 | 0.08 |
| 1,4 | 3 | 0.04 |
| 2,1 | 1 | 0.12 |
| 2,2 | 0 | 0.09 |
| 2,3 | 1 | 0.06 |
| 2,4 | 2 | 0.03 |
| 2,1 | 2 | 0.08 |
| 3,2 | 1 | 0.06 |
| 3,3 | 0 | 0.04 |
| 3,4 | 1 | 0.02 |
| 4,1 | 3 | 0.04 |
| 4,2 | 2 | 0.03 |
| 4,3 | 1 | 0.02 |
| 4,4 | 0 | 0.01 |
To obtain the distribution of R, the values of R which are repeated are added with the unique values of R as shown:
| r | Probability | P(r) |
| 0 | 0.16+0.09+0.04+0.01 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 0.12+0.12+0.06+0.06+0.02+0.02 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 0.08+0.03+0.08+0.03 | 0.22 |
| 3 | 0.04+0.04 | 0.08 |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
This is the required probability distribution of R.
d.
If a random sample of size n = 4 is selected, required to find $P\left( {\bar X \le 1.5} \right)$.
Calculations:
$\bar X$ will be 1 when ${X_i} = 1$ for every i = 1,2,3,4.
$\bar X$ will be 1.25 when ${X_i} = 1$ in 3 out of 4 cases and ${X_i} = 2$ in 1 case.
The possibilities that $\bar X = 1.5$ are:
(a) When ${X_i} = 1$ in 2 out of 4 cases and ${X_i} = 2$ in remaining 2 cases.
(b) When ${X_i} = 1$ in 3 out of 4 cases and ${X_i} = 3$ in remaining 1 case.
As ${X_i}'s$ are independent, the probabilities are calculated as shown:
The probability $P\left( {\bar X = 1} \right)$ is obtained as,
\[\begin{array}{c} P\left( {\bar X = 1} \right) = P\left( {1,1,1,1} \right)\\ = {\left( {0.4} \right)^4}\\ = 0.0256 \end{array}\]The probability $P\left( {\bar X = 1.25} \right)$ is obtained as,
\[\begin{array}{c} P\left( {\bar X = 1.25} \right) = \left( {\begin{array}{*{20}{c}} 4\\ 1 \end{array}} \right){\left( {0.4} \right)^3}{\left( {0.3} \right)^1}\\ = 0.0768 \end{array}\]The probability $P\left( {\bar X = 1.5} \right)$ is obtained as,
\[\begin{array}{c} P\left( {\bar X = 1.5} \right) = \left( {\begin{array}{*{20}{c}} 4\\ 2 \end{array}} \right){\left( {0.4} \right)^2}{\left( {0.3} \right)^2} + \left( {\begin{array}{*{20}{c}} 4\\ 1 \end{array}} \right){\left( {0.4} \right)^3}{\left( {0.3} \right)^1}\\ = 0.0864 + 0.0512\\ = 0.1376 \end{array}\]Now, the probability $P\left( {\bar X \le 1.5} \right)$ is obtained as:
\[\begin{array}{c} P\left( {\bar X \le 1.5} \right) = P\left( {\bar X = 1.5} \right) + P\left( {\bar X = 1.25} \right) + P\left( {\bar X = 1.5} \right)\\ = 0.0256 + 0.0768 + 0.1376\\ = 0.24 \end{array}\]Therefore, the required probability $P\left( {\bar X \le 1.5} \right)$ is 0.24.